First Inning Bets
A lot of people tend to stay away from on betting baseball because they don't have the patience to sit and watch and entire game. However, there has been a recent shift towards betting the first inning in baseball. Instead of waiting 2-3 hours for a game to finish, you can get your fix in about 20 minutes of action. This bet is becoming more an more popular over the years. I want to take some time to explain how it works, and how you can start making a profit on it right away.
The key to this bet is determining whether or not a run will be scored in the first inning of a game. Oddsmakers assign a money line value for each side. The value is set largely on the two starting pitchers for each team. For example, betting that a run will be scored with two sub-par starting pitchers will require you to lay more juice than if you were to make that same bet with two of the top starting pitchers in the game.
Because the chances of nothing happening compared to something happening in the first inning are more likely, more times than not you are going to have to lay juice if you bet that no runs will be scored. On the other hand you can really find some great value when betting on there being a run scored. For instance, in today's matchup between the San Diego Padres (Matt Latos) and the Milwaukee Brewers (Zach Grienke), the odds that a run won't be scored are set at -145, while the odds that a run will be scored are set at +115. That means you would have to bet $145 to win $100 on neither team scoring, and $100 to win $115 on their being at least one run scored.
While the results are quick, if you want to be successful at betting the first innings in the MLB you have to take some time to do some research. There are certain offenses that tend to come out strong, and their are great starting pitchers who have a history of struggling in the first inning.
While you don't want to make your bet solely on the total of a game, it can be a useful tool.
Offensively I like to look for how strong a lineup is at the top of the order.
Pitching wise,
A lot of people tend to stay away from on betting baseball because they don't have the patience to sit and watch and entire game. However, there has been a recent shift towards betting the first inning in baseball. Instead of waiting 2-3 hours for a game to finish, you can get your fix in about 20 minutes of action. This bet is becoming more an more popular over the years. I want to take some time to explain how it works, and how you can start making a profit on it right away.
The key to this bet is determining whether or not a run will be scored in the first inning of a game. Oddsmakers assign a money line value for each side. The value is set largely on the two starting pitchers for each team. For example, betting that a run will be scored with two sub-par starting pitchers will require you to lay more juice than if you were to make that same bet with two of the top starting pitchers in the game.
Because the chances of nothing happening compared to something happening in the first inning are more likely, more times than not you are going to have to lay juice if you bet that no runs will be scored. On the other hand you can really find some great value when betting on there being a run scored. For instance, in today's matchup between the San Diego Padres (Matt Latos) and the Milwaukee Brewers (Zach Grienke), the odds that a run won't be scored are set at -145, while the odds that a run will be scored are set at +115. That means you would have to bet $145 to win $100 on neither team scoring, and $100 to win $115 on their being at least one run scored.
While the results are quick, if you want to be successful at betting the first innings in the MLB you have to take some time to do some research. There are certain offenses that tend to come out strong, and their are great starting pitchers who have a history of struggling in the first inning.
While you don't want to make your bet solely on the total of a game, it can be a useful tool.
- If the oddsmakers set the total for a game at 9.5, they are indicating that they expect a lot of runs to be scored, and chances are one of those runs could come across the board early.
- If the total is set at 6.5, it becomes less likely that a run will be scored in the first inning. The reason you don't want to only use this as your main indicator for the first inning, is you will have starting pitchers who come out and give up 1-2 runs right off the bat, only to follow it up with five shutout innings.
- On the other hand some starting pitchers are great the first time through the order, but struggle late in the game once the opposing hitters have a better feel for their pitches.
Offensively I like to look for how strong a lineup is at the top of the order.
- Games in which you have two teams who have great leadoff hitters are more likely to see a run scored in the first inning than games where the two teams are stacked in the middle of the lineup, especially teams who have leadoff hitters who have a high OBP.
- Also, when betting that a run will be scored I always like to have at least one team that is very strong offensively.
- Betting that a run will be scored with two teams that average three runs a game, isn't a strong play regardless of who is on the mound.
Pitching wise,
- I like to look at the two starters WHIP. This gives a good indication of how many runners on average a pitcher allows on base per inning.
- Pitchers who have a high WHIP tend to be more wild, and there is a better chance that they will come out with no command of their pitches, which will lead to more walks and a better chance that a run crosses the plate.
Just like with every other bet you make, it really pays to have an account at a number of sportsbooks when betting on the first inning odds. Saving a few dollars here and there by getting the better odds for your money will greatly increase your chances of finishing the year with a profit.
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